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Michigan

Michigan: Blue Flip

House: 52 Democrats, 58 Republicans
To Flip Blue: 4 Seats

To flip the House, Democrats need to win 4 seats. Momentum is on our side: in 2018, Democrats broke a Republican supermajority in the Senate, gained 5 seats in the House, and broke a Republican trifecta by electing Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer. We can build on this energy to flip the House in 2020.

Flipping this chamber would finally give Governor Whitmer a partner in the legislature, which under GOP control has recalcitrantly refused to work with her to govern effectively.

Fast Facts

  • Current Control: Divided. Governor – D; Senate – R; House – R
  • Gubernatorial Election: Not up in 2020
  • Length of State House Terms: 2 years
  • Candidate Filing Deadline: April 21, 2020
  • State Legislative Primary Date: August 4, 2020
  • Redistricting: Independent Redistricting Commission will draw the next set of maps; Governor cannot veto maps
    Electoral College Votes: 16

Broader 2020 Opportunities

  • Michigan is a critical, perennial battleground presidential state. Obama carried MI in both 2008 and 2012 before Trump eked out a win by a quarter of one percentage point (10,000 votes). In fact, before Trump’s narrow win, Michiganders had voted for the Democratic presidential nominee since 1992. Michigan is one of the “Big Four” states that are likely to control the outcome of the 2020 presidential election. Democrats have a tremendous opportunity to claim MI’s 16 Electoral College votes this year, with smart organizing, expanding the electorate through voter registration, and turnout efforts.
  • There is also an important, very competitive Senate race in Michigan this year (D-Peters), as well as several competitive Congressional races (including MI-08, MI-11, and MI-03).
  • Working to support MI state legislative candidates will be instrumental in helping drive turnout up and down the ticket in this historic election year.

Population Demographics

Population

10,045,029

Median Age

39.5

Male | Female

49.2 % | 50.8%

Racial Diversity

White: 78.52%; Black: 13.81%; Asian: 3.06%; Two+ races: 2.85%; Other: 1.20%

2016 Election

Hillary Clinton

Votes: 2,268,839
Percentage: 47.27%
Electoral Votes: 0

Donald Trump

Votes: 2,279,543
Percentage: 47.50%
Electoral Votes: 16

District Lines

According to Ballotpedia: in Michigan, an independent redistricting commission is responsible for drawing both congressional and state legislative district plans. The commission comprises 13 members, including four Democrats, four Republicans, and five unaffiliated voters or members of minor parties. In order for a map to be enacted, at least seven members must vote for it, including at least two Democrats, two Republicans, and two members not affiliated with either major party

Following the 2010 United States Census, Michigan was apportioned 14 congressional seats. Michigan’s House of Representatives is made up of 110 districts; Michigan’s State Senate is made up of 38 districts.

Gerrymandering

After a decade of GOP gerrymandering, the voters of Michigan passed a ballot initiative in 2018 – Proposal 2, which took district mapping away from the state legislature and gave it to an independent commission.

The Republican-controlled state legislature sought to invalidate Proposal 2 in the courts, which ruled against the plaintiffs at every step of the way.

However, the US Supreme Court’s ruling against intervening on gerrymandering negated the impending victory over the GOP, so Michigan continues its quest to end partisan gerrymandering.

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