Senate: 32 Democrats, 35 Republicans
To Flip Blue: 2 Seats
The Minnesota Senate is our pick for the best Democratic chamber-flip opportunity of 2020. Democrats are down just 2 seats in this chamber, which has not been up since 2016. This means there are great districts that have trended towards Democrats since their last election, which are ripe for flipping this year.
Flipping this chamber would deliver a Democratic trifecta to the state of Minnesota, since Governor Tim Walz is a Democrat who is not up in 2020, and Democrats flipped the state house blue in 2018.
These are ‘last chance’ races: whoever is elected in 2020 will draw the next round of district lines.
49.3 % | 50.3%
White: 83.33%; Black: 6.19%; Asian: 4.75%; Two+ races: 2.85%; Other: 2.77%
Electoral Votes: 10
Electoral Votes: 20
According to Ballotpedia, in Minnesota, congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the Minnesota State Legislature. These lines are subject to veto by the governor.
The Minnesota Constitution requires “that state Senate districts be contiguous, and that Representative districts be nested within Senate districts.” State statutes apply contiguity requirements to all congressional and state legislative districts. Furthermore, state statutes stipulate that political subdivisions should not be divided “more than necessary.
House District by caucus
Senate Districts by caucus