

Downballot Roll-Off in 2024: A First Look at the Chamber-Level Findings
Sister District’s initial post-election analysis of state legislative races in 2024 reveals unexpected trends in downballot roll-off. While Democrats traditionally experience higher roll-off rates, chamber-level data suggests notable deviations—especially in North Carolina, where Democratic state legislative candidates outperformed Kamala Harris, and Republican candidates saw greater roll-off than expected. This report takes a first look at these patterns, comparing them to historical trends from 2016 and 2020.